Mar 3, 2023; Orlando, Florida, USA; Patrick Cantlay lines up a putt on the 17th green during the second round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
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We’re halfway through the halfway mark of the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
After Jon Rahm got off to a 7-under start to the tournament, we were all throwing in the towel and handing him the win. Then, a 4-over par Round 2 by the Spaniard completely opened up the tournament.
Heading into the weekend, Kurt Kitayama holds a two-stroke lead at -9. Jordan Spieth has solo second at -7, then Xander Schauffele and Corey Conners are tied at third at -6.
If you’re looking for a golfer to live bet to win the event, you’ve come to the right place.
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Arnold Palmer Invitational live odds
PGA Tour • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard
Tournament Winner
Odds last updated
March 4th, 2023, at 8:54 am
Arnold Palmer Invitational live picks
Patrick Cantlay +1000
Patrick Cantlay is only four strokes back from the lead, and his statistics are promising through the first two rounds. He’s gaining strokes across all four major categories, so he’s on track to be in contention on Sunday.
With how difficult Bay Hill is, playing consistent golf across the four areas of the game is enough to win the tournament. Others may excel in some areas, but losing strokes on the field in any of the four areas will cause a golfer to fall down the leaderboard.
Cantlay may just quietly win this tournament.
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Matt Fitzpatrick +1200
Matt Fitzpatrick has struggled with his approach game all season, but there are signs that he may have fixed the issue. Through the first two rounds, Fitzpatrick gained +2.38 strokes on the field with his approach game, which is the third best mark so far this tournament.
Fitzy is uncharacteristically losing strokes putting, but he’s sitting T5, four strokes back from the league despite the putter struggles. If he can dial in the flat stick but keep his iron game hot, he might just go ahead and win this tournament.
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Jon Rahm +1200
Now is the time to bet on Jon Rahm after a rough second round. Despite his struggles on Friday, he’s still second in the field in strokes gained: approach at +2.97.
His biggest issues is his driver, where he’s losing -1.44 strokes on the field. If he can sharpen things up off-the-tee, and he certainly should considering he’s the No. 1 golfer in the world, he can get back in the mix. He’s currently six strokes off the lead.
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